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I don’t think the #50501movement protests were big enough; they were much smaller than the George Floyd protests, the Women’s March, and the 1st Term Trump Protests. You will know when the protests are an effective size because Trump will send fed goons out.
Trump originally threatened to send Federal TROOPS against ANY protest, but blinked on that first on Inauguration day and again with the big LA ICE protests.

That handed us the initiative and an opportunity to grow the movement. Trump's National Guard/Insurrection Act threats scared a lot of less radical people (our civilian backbone) off the streets.

The Uprising detonated in 2020 after the cops followed months of exploiting covid rules to order Black people off the streets with an especially brutal murder. An ICE raid that blows up into a gun battle and kills migrants could easily detonate the current situation into another nationwide uprising.

If Trump met that with troops and live ammunition civil war would result. If he blinked again or was forced to by cooler heads around him, the rest of the year would look a lot like 2020. In the latter scenario, Trump probably does not succeed in becoming more powerful than just another US President and his entire agenda may stall and crash. If he gets to 2028 without dying of old age in that scenario, he would have little chance of becoming President for Life/King/Emperor. He no longer has to worry about going to prison, removing one motivation to fight to the bitter end.

We may yet get peace (well, relative peace with rioting but no actual warfare) but cannot drop our guard against #civilwar yet.
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