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Another piece of eloquent testimony from a brilliant Black man that won't be taken seriously by lots of us as we engage in the futile game-playing of the circular firing squad:

"America deserves everything it is about to get. ...

The conversations about who is to blame, the hand-wringing about who showed up and who failed the moment are largely academic and pointless."

~ Elie Mystal

#Trump #fascism #cruelty #future
/5

https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/trump-is-america-not-a-fluke/


"The fact is, is that they did everything that a campaign can do and more. But we as a country really have a lot of soul searching to do.”

But what Black people have to say isn't really important to a lot of us, right? Never has been. Never has been taken as seriously in the opinion pages of our major media outlets as the verbiage of any white person anywhere. Right? And it's never about racism or misogyny even when it's always about them.

#Trump #fascism #cruelty #future
/4


"The unfortunate reality is that this country is still steeped in racism, sexism and misogyny. I am personally proud of her, and I know that so many others are the same. We appreciate her tenacity, her focus, her decency and how she handled herself throughout this campaign. And I don’t want to hear anybody saying that they should have done something different, she should have been running longer."

#Trump #fascism #cruelty #future
/3


A large percentage of those gleefully playing this blame game right now, including here on my feed, are white men, young white men at that.

Here's the response of a young Black leader, Baltimore mayor Brandon Scott, to these folks:

"It is really on my heart this morning to say that as a man, but more importantly as a Black man, that this country does not deserve Black women or Black people, but specifically Black women."

#Trump #fascism #cruelty #future
/2


It's always so easy to blame women, isn't it? And Black women in particular. That's what's going on right now, of course, in the orgy of recrimination mounted by those blaming Democrats, and a Black woman, Kamala Harris, for the triumph of fascism in the recent election. Blaming Democrats for the free choice of nearly half of our citizens to usher in fascism by electing Trump president….

#Trump #fascism #cruelty #future
/1

https://www.wonkette.com/p/democratic-state-leaders-prepare?


I want to advertise The European Correspondent.

As the name suggests, journalism from and for and beyond the continent. Great newsletter, topical, thoughtful, modern, critical - but judge for yourselves. And if you can, consider supporting. Journalists shouldn't be payed by billionaires and oligarchs
https://www.europeancorrespondent.com/
#journalism #europe #theeuropeancorrespondent #EuropeanCorrespondent #media #eupol #politics #future #hope #truthseeker


"Somebody will tell me many of those who voted for it didn't know what they were voting for, and I imagine that's true. I have to say, though, that the ignorance and complacency demonstrated by Republicans and their allies is an ignorance and a complacency so vast and unfeeling that it must be taken as interchangeable with malice. …

I'm disinterested in the usual circular firing squad."

#Trump #Republicans #fascism #cruelty #future
/3


"Everything they did was a shitshow and all of it was washed in threats of brutality and malicious lies and promises of retribution and revenge and destruction, none of it offered any solutions that didn't involve hurting lots of people, all its proponents went out of their way to disparage any fine aspiration or principal that anybody, including themselves, has ever claimed to hold. Their standard bearer is a criminal and a rapist. And he won."

#Trump #Republicans #fascism #cruelty #future
/2


"Fascism is, it turns out, very popular. It won on Tuesday, seemingly without even having to try. The side that won barely campaigned."

~ A.R. Moxon

But the problem, let's remind ourselves, is the Democratic party. The problem is not the voters who, told that one party will usher in fascism, went right ahead and voted for that party — choosing to usher in fascism.

#Trump #Republicans #fascism #cruelty #future
/1

https://www.the-reframe.com/fighting-in-the-dark/?ref=the-reframe-newsletter


A post-election message from Interim Editor-in-Chief @gusbova to our members, readers, and the rest of our extended community.

https://texasobserver.fundjournalism.org/donate

#journalism #Media #Texas #politics #USpol #fundraiser #nonprofit #future #immigration #news
All, 

I can’t tell you that it’s more important than ever right now to support the Observer and other local journalism. I mean, I’d thought Kamala Harris would win a narrow victory and that Trump wouldn’t do a whole lot better in Texas than he did in 2020. In other words, for the moment, I’m out of both the prediction game and the game of even just making confident statements. 

All I can say is that Trump’s explicit plan is to hurt specific people — undocumented immigrants spring first to mind, but they are one of many groups — and many of these people live in Texas. And that the Observer intends to be here, on the ground, exposing these harms as they play out. We did it last time, we plan to do it again, 

I suppose I can also say that investigative journalism, the bulk of what we do, isn’t terribly contingent on politics. Whoever’s in charge, they want to hide things; we dig, and we publish.


“The Madison Square Garden rally, the increasingly unhinged speeches, the shocking vulgarity on full display—it was all there for everyone to see.

And, more than 50% of Americans saw it and said that’s exactly what they wanted.

I don’t have numbers yet, but I anticipate the white evangelical vote will be over 80%, white Catholic and mainline over 60%.”

~ Kristin Du Mez

#fascism #future #cruelty #Christians
/3

https://open.substack.com/pub/kristindumez/p/this-time-is-worse


For some of us now, for many of us, the question is,

How will we survive?

Or,

Will we survive?

#fascism #future
/1


As we near the end of the #US Election, I'm going to wind down on talking about the voting stuff. If you have not voted yet, you still have the time to go to the polls and do so: this is close, and your state could very well be on the line. It would greatly benefit everyone here if Kamala Harris wins.

This post isn't about that though.

Something I want to say, as the din of everyone trying to get everyone out to vote dies down and before the chaos of Trump's inevitable preemptive victory declaration, is that we have to remember, either way, there is so much #hope for the #future.

Yes, a Trump victory will be disastrous. Businesses will close, culture will be damaged, lives ruined, and innocent people killed, in the US, #Ukraine, and #Palestine.

Yet we will continue to fight him and his people. There are so many of #activists who will do everything in our power to fight him, and to pressure Kamala Harris if she wins.

...and, in the long term, we are WINNING.

(continued in thread)


https://www.alandforall.org/english/ Göran Rosenberg, Swedish writer & journalist, shared an initiative for how a future Israel-Palestine divided between a Jewish-Israeli nation & an Arab-Palestinian one could look like. Please have a read!

#future #Initiatives #Israel #palestine



How Khrushchev derailed the locomotive of history



Machine translation from https://histoireetsociete.com/2024/09/29/comment-khrouchtchev-a-fait-derailler-la-locomotive-de-lhistoire/

We are among ourselves... in this blog which has broken ties with social networks and which seeks to build in our small collective a place of collective reflection since this is not permitted in the political-media space which is heading towards war , fascistization, clientelist divisions and the fear of facing both the past and the future. As I tried to explain, we are in a temporal paradox, that of a historical shift. It is clear that what we are facing is new, the solutions are unusual and require experimentation, collective reflection... But at the same time what prohibits this essential cooperation is the way in which we have managed to convince the working class, the youth, all the victims that there was no other alternative than individualist coping... What is happening is abominable and our leaders are leading us towards the apocalypse, but socialism, the collective, is worse. And we will not get through this without confronting this trauma of the past as the Russians and the Chinese do. Once again this translation by Marianne on the “Khrushchevian derailment” represents a contribution and as long as it is ignored there cannot be a revolutionary party and not even a reformist one. Since with the end of the USSR, there is no longer a reformist party, only parties which believe they can more or less control the pace of regression, negotiate it. (note by Danielle Bleitrach translation by Marianne Dunlop historyandsociety)

By Serguei Kostrikov and Elena Kostrikova (1)

This text is actually the conclusion of the book by Serguei Kostrikov and Elena Kostrikova, The locomotives of history: the revolutionary year 1917, a title which alludes to the famous phrase of Karl Marx: “Revolutions are the locomotives of History”. I do not believe I am betraying the authors by attributing a large part of the responsibility for the derailment of the locomotive to Khrushchev, even if he was not the sole cause. (notes and translation by Marianne Dunlop for History and Society).

We are convinced that the materials contained in this book, taken from Russian periodicals of the revolutionary year 1917, convincingly prove that the February bourgeois revolution and the great October socialist revolution were inevitable. Contrary to the predictions of its enemies, not only did Russia not sink into the abyss of oblivion, but it became one of the greatest world powers, it defeated the universal evil of fascism, it led the struggle of the advanced forces of humanity against oppression, for real democracy, for justice, for national and social liberation – this is the historical merit of the working people led by the Bolshevik Party.

Ideological opponents of Marxism will say with philistine sarcasm: "Well, where did your world power go, why did it collapse, where is your Marxism-Bolshevism?" The Soviet system, the socialist economy and the friendship between our peoples withstood the test of strength during the years of relentless war. In the USSR, unlike Tsarist Russia, there were no irreconcilable contradictions, no economic and social problems that could not be resolved within the framework of socialism. Our power has not disintegrated, it has been destroyed. At the end of the 20th century, we all witnessed a monstrous betrayal, the example of which is difficult to find in history. This betrayal was committed by representatives of the ruling "elite", who placed themselves at the service of external forces who had never stopped fighting against the first socialist country in the world.

The roots of the tragedy that occurred lie not in the vices of socialism, but in the fact that at a certain stage the leadership of the Communist Party ceased to rely on Marxist doctrine, did not not realized the need for its development. “Without theory we are dead,” Stalin warned. The world was changing, the international situation posed more and more difficult questions, and at that time the field of ideology in our country gradually stagnated.

After World War II, the authority of the USSR and socialism had reached an exceptionally high level. This is evidenced by the new role of our country in the world, the emergence of new socialist states, the rise to the forefront of communist and workers' parties in many countries, the development of the national liberation movement in the colonial empires. From the point of view of bourgeois ideologists and politicians, it was necessary to disrupt this wave of growth of the authority of socialism and the influence of Marxist ideology. And in the bourgeois camp, it was necessary to find ways to modernize capitalism. This is clearly seen not only in the alternation of conservative and liberal parties in power, the establishment of neoliberalism and neoconservatism in the economy and politics. Reactionary movements, including neo-fascists, have been revived. They also tried to penetrate the sphere of left-wing ideology, not only in their country, but also in socialist countries. Many left-wing organizations appeared. All of them are characterized by petty-bourgeois revolutionism, ultra-leftist phrases, distancing from Marxism-Leninism, its revision, attempts at petty-bourgeois interpretation in relation to new conditions, or a complete rejection of the doctrine and a struggle against her.

These groupings reflected the objective tendencies of Western societies in the conditions of the scientific and technical revolution and the socio-economic processes that it engendered. Engineers, technicians and other intellectuals, previously privileged, inevitably transformed into openly exploited “proletarians of mental work” and became politically radicalized. On the other hand, the many leftists reflected the struggle of the bourgeoisie against the true communist movement, against Marxism as such. It is important that we understand the main thing: in the West there was an active intellectual search aimed at creating ideological constructs that opposed or destroyed Marxism. This was a new major front of ideological struggle. And we had to meet this challenge with all our might.

Why, having created a powerful socialist state, having won the Great Victory, were we not prepared for confrontation in a new form? Why, after making a gigantic breakthrough into the future, were we not able to truly evaluate what we had accomplished and defend it when the time was right? Why did people who were not only dogmatic, who did not develop Marxism, but who were not Marxists at all, find themselves at the head of the party? ?

One of the reasons lies in the changes of people within the state and party leadership that took place in the post-war period, and especially after the death of Stalin. Our victory was dearly paid for. The human losses were heavy and irreplaceable. To a large extent, the war destroyed an entire generation of newly formed Soviets. These were, one could say, people of the future, in good physical and moral health. Children of workers and peasants who, without the war, would have become production managers, scientists, representatives of creative professions, military and political leaders.

They constituted an invaluable genetic heritage for the nation. Today, we miss not only them, but also their children, who would have been raised to become true Soviets, true patriots of their country. Those who were lucky enough to survive performed a true miracle: in a few years they restored what had been destroyed, created a superpower and were the first to make a breakthrough into space.

Unfortunately, while the best representatives of our people were fighting and creating, careerists with Party cards were sneaking into power, skillfully posing as ideological communists. In the mid-1950s, at the top of the party bureaucracy, whose vices had been ruthlessly combatted by Stalin, there was a rush for power. The results are known. First of all, the denunciation and liquidation of Beria, then "the dismantling of the anti-party group Molotov-Malenkov-Kaganovich and others." In the end, Khrushchev, ignorant but skilled in the art of intrigue, prevailed over all others.

Under Stalin, every civil servant, whatever his rank, knew full well that his position did not protect him from the most severe sanctions. With Khrushchev, the apparatchiks received a guarantee of immunity – that is, in effect, irresponsibility – from the party apparatus and bureaucracy. From that moment on, a process of massive and accelerated decay and degeneration of the ruling bureaucracy began. “The cadres decide everything” (2), said Stalin. The “dragon’s teeth” sown under Khrushchev produced poisonous sprouts for a long time. In the 1980s, Khrushchev-era “cadres” rose to the highest level of power. It was Khrushchev who allowed people like Gorbachev, Yeltsin, Yakovlev and their ilk to sneak into the highest ranks of the party. “We had too many 'Khrushchevs',” VM Molotov later recalled with bitterness.

For Khrushchev, the reckless “denunciation of the cult of personality” served above all his own justification and self-affirmation, and not at all the restoration of Leninist norms. He himself easily violated these norms by dismissing from office, dismissing from the capital or retiring all those who did not agree with his adventurist orientation and whom he considered dangerous to himself- even. He did not imprison them or shoot them just because he had cut himself off from this path. But he humiliated them mercilessly. Molotov, Malenkov, Zhukov, Shepilov, Furtseva and many others understood this perfectly. All this has not improved the party. But he undermined his authority, as well as the authority of socialism on the world stage. Like a merchant on the spree, Nikita squandered and squandered the gigantic moral and political capital acquired at the cost of the blood and sweat of our people..

Khrushchev undeservedly reaped the fruits of the victories won under Stalin. The breakthrough into space (3) allowed him for a time to distract attention from the socio-economic problems he had caused. With the arrival of Khrushchev, his line of extensive development of the country and the economy triumphed. The reckless and unbridled expansion of virgin lands at the expense of the restoration and development of the indigenous agricultural areas of central Russia, decimated by the war, is spectacular in appearance, including in terms of propaganda. But it was not justified. At the beginning of the 1960s, we had already drawn on state reserves, then began to regularly buy grain from abroad, financing foreign producers..

The failures of the economy and the rise in prices caused discontent among the population. This is how workers were shot at in Novocherkassk. During the entire Soviet period, no leader of the country had dared to do such a thing !

As a result, Khrushchev's policies translated for the USSR into senseless spending inside and outside the country, adventurous economic and political decisions, demagoguery, ideological swindling and propaganda, the split and weakening of the international communist movement, the loss of world authority, guidelines, ideals and the degeneration of party cadres. His arrogant troublemaking policies almost led to nuclear conflict with America in 1962.

Khrushchev's name is associated with stagnation in the field of ideology. An uneducated man with a petty-bourgeois mentality, he adopted the slogan “catching up with and overtaking the West in all areas” as his basic development strategy. In the very essence of this slogan was the idea not of our identity, not of the already realized benefits of socialism, not of reasonable sufficiency. The idea of ​​our backwardness and even a kind of inferiority was imposed on the Soviet people. Of course, Lenin also spoke of the need for Soviet Russia to “catch up with the advanced countries.” But he spoke about scientific, technical, cultural and industrial progress, about the advanced organization of management and production, on the basis of which a completely different society was to develop. Lenin reasoned from the position of a politician in the 1920s, at the head of a country devastated by wars and interventions and culturally and technically backward. Khrushchev, on the other hand, was the head of a superpower that had achieved enormous successes in economics, science and culture, and had managed to win an unprecedented war thanks to the achievements of socialism. It was necessary to view the pursuit of development dialectically, and not to chase after the bourgeois West. Khrushchev's slogan "catch up and overtake" was deeply philistine and reflected a petty-bourgeois view of development and its goal. We were asked to beat the enemy on their territory and according to their rules. Khrushchev psychologically oriented the population towards a consumer society, without taking into account the traditions of our peoples, economic expediency, state possibilities and probable socio-psychological, ideological and political consequences.

The obvious advantages of socialism, which allowed everyone to develop normally, healthily and creatively, were replaced by petty-bourgeois consumer instincts – “theirs are better, bigger, more beautiful”. The West has transformed itself into a glittering showcase of an infinite quantity of junk, of necessary and less necessary goods – a veritable Ali Baba's cave. Like a savage blinded by glitter from a tin can and abandoning real jewelry for cheap trinkets, Khrushchev's common man was ready to give his soul for chewing gum and Coca-Cola, not doubting not that all the benefits of socialism were guaranteed to him forever. We had lost our ideological “immunity” against capitalism! On a daily basis, the West has surpassed us.

After Stalin, ideology in the USSR stagnated. From Khrushchev onwards, no senior Soviet party leader, unlike his predecessors, wrote anything himself. At the same time, the new party “elite” was terribly removed from the lives of the people. Lenin and Stalin, driven by the desire for a just world order, knew how to ignite the masses with their ideas. In the most difficult hours, they were able to find words that were close and understandable to ordinary people, touching their souls and instilling in them faith in victory. They encouraged work and struggle. But he who does not consume himself will never be able to lead others.

They encouraged others to follow him. The soulless and bureaucratic “agitation” of the era of “stagnation” could only discourage the study of Marxism. Despite the numerous Marxist-Leninist universities, schools and circles where studies were formalized, the mass of the Party became politically and ideologically infantile and easily infected by petty-bourgeois instincts..

Our official ideological propaganda apparatus, headed by MA Suslov, did not find answers appropriate to the times, did not react correctly to the new phenomena brought to the fore by the processes of the scientific and technical revolution and globalization . Foreign ideology began to quietly seep into the vacated space, ideas were borrowed from Western philosophers, sociologists and economists. Certain academic institutions have become sanctuaries of opportunism: the Institute of the United States and Canada, IMEMO, IMRD, etc. A whole layer of intellectuals who did not think in a Marxist way was created. But it was they who found themselves at the time in the roles of advisors, consultants and speechwriters within the Central Committee of the CPSU. “Burlatski-Arbatov-Bovin” and others wrote speeches of leaders, party programs and resolutions on the most important issues.

The famous “thaw”, which made Khrushchev so beloved by our liberals and those of the West, did not occur by his will. He used it as a social backdrop to assert his power by crushing his predecessors and political opponents. Khrushchev and liberalism have little overlap. The character himself embodied petty-bourgeois radicalism. Khrushchev's "thaw" gave birth to the "sixties", these "adult children" of socialism. Why socialism? Because they owe him everything: a life saved from fascism, a better education, and even their creativity. With enchanting siren voices, they led naive novelists to sing about "the fog and the smell of the taiga", while they themselves firmly believed only in money. Like cuckoos, they destroyed and ravaged the nest that sheltered them. Biding their time, they were happy to relax in the houses of creativity and state dachas, gracefully entertaining the nomenklatura when they asked. They did not risk much, because they were firmly convinced that their Western patrons would not let them down. At the first opportunity, they “escaped” abroad. Today they are professors, like Nikita Khrushchev's son, in foreign universities, letting the people get out of the mud into which they have dragged them.

The real heroes of the sixties and seventies were very different. These young people who, following the example of their fathers and older brothers, built new cities and factories, built dams on the Angara and Yenisei, led the Baikal railway through impassable taiga to Love, explored space, made scientific discoveries, and simply worked honestly where the Motherland called them. They were true ideologues, true patriots, whose motto was: “As long as my dear country lives!” » (4). Current authorities try hard not to remember those times. But the monuments of this great era and its heroes are magnificent books and films, truly talented songs and much more..

What about today? Does our country, our people, the whole world have a socialist perspective or has the bourgeois “end of history” arrived? What needs to be done to give workers around the world hope for a better life? ?

First of all, do not deny our great past, draw from it the strength for a new breakthrough towards the future. The revolutionary teachings of Marxism are by no means obsolete. Its founders saw far. It is in their writings that the key to understanding the modern era is found. Let's return to Marxism, let's relearn to think scientifically, dialectically, from the point of view of the class, and not in a philistine way.

A hundred years ago, VI Lenin prophetically declared: “To imagine that world history moves forward smoothly and neatly, without occasional gigantic leaps backward, is undialectical, unscientific, theoretically incorrect. »

Which means: “There will be new victories, new fighters will rise!” » ; “A new October is coming ! » (4)

Notes :

1) The authors of the book “The Locomotives of History: The Revolutionary Year 1917” are two Russian historians specializing in revolutionary movements. Sergei Kostrikov heads the chair of history and political science at the Moscow State University of Management; Elena Kostrikova is a doctor of law, member of the Institute of Russian History of the Russian Academy of Sciences. We published on H&S articles by their son, a journalist at Pravda.

2) This famous phrase from Stalin should not be misinterpreted: it simply means that choosing the right leaders (at all levels) is of the utmost importance.

3) 1957 : 1is Sputnik ; 1962 : 1is man in space. These projects were planned and prepared under Stalin.

4) Quotes from Soviet songs : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x3KVAByJids

#history #khrushchev #ussr

For more details (in Russian) on the methods and mechanisms of the collapse of the Soviet Union, see S.G. Kara-Murza, Manipulation of Consciousness -
#USSR #soviet #russian #revolutions #Lenin #Stalin #bolsheviks #ideology #communism #socialism #history #study for #future


I'm proud to be Russian.

To some unquantified degree, this is how my mind works

#russian #Russia is fair #future
Nazareno Evangelista


Rheinmetall plans massive expansion of ammunition production in Germany
The arms manufacturer Rheinmetall is planning to significantly increase its production of 155-millimeter artillery ammunition. A new ammunition factory is being built in Unterlüß, Lower Saxony, and the German government is examining legal relaxations to allow production in stock.


The Germans are getting ready to go to war with the Russians again, the European vassals want to be beaten again, masochists.
#nato #germany #war in #eu again #europe #western #warmongers #banksters #money #economy #military #european #vassalage #anti-Russia #mindmanipulation to #suicide #german #future in #poverty


For Europe and NATO, a Russian Invasion Is No Longer Unthinkable
Amid crumbling U.S. support for Ukraine and Donald Trump’s rising candidacy, European nations and NATO are making plans to take on Russia by themselves.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/29/us/politics/europe-nato-russia-trump.html

Europeans and their masters behind the puddle, want to smash themselves against Russia again.
The chronic pathology of the anglo-saxon elite, history teaches them nothing..
Is the #ukrainian example not enough for the europeans?
#USA #us #nato #war in #eu again #europe #western #anglo-saxons is #warmongers #banksters #money #economy #military #european #vassalage #anti-Russia #mindmanipulation to #suicide #future in #poverty


Don't be a sheep, don't watch soccer or TV in general. Read. Read a lot.
#humanity #selfeducation #study for #future

Bild/Foto


About european vassalage


Bloomberg reports that European plastic producers (and plastic is the base of the modern economy) are cutting back on production and states the beautiful thing:

"It would be a mistake to interpret this as a triumph in the fight against plastic. Europe continues to consume huge quantities of Styrofoam, paints, resins and any other products that petrochemical plants produce. This is simply replacing local production with imported production.

Petrochemicals are inherently energy intensive In Europe, natural gas is about five times more expensive than in the United States. [note to Crimson: what expensive freedom molecules in US LNG it turns out! Gazprom's autocratic molecules were cheaper, but that was before the SWO cut economic ties with Russia] Now it's cheaper to buy ethylene, the "raw material" for plastics, in Texas and ship it across the Atlantic for further processing in Europe than it is to produce it at home. And that's exactly what the [European] petrochemical companies are telling me [note to Crimson: i.e., the author of the Bloomberg piece]. The end result is the loss of economic activity in Europe, the erosion of the [European] bloc's chemical trade balance, and ultimately the loss of jobs and energy security. [...]
Privately, industry executives say they cannot lose money for so long, so the closure of [petrochemical operations] in 2024 looks inevitable.

Using more diplomatic language, the IEA [International Energy Agency] said last week that "it is becoming increasingly difficult to see how the petrochemical industry on the [European] continent can regain its former position". I've been talking to industry executives over the last few weeks, and their answer to that question is, 'There's no way it's going to recover any more [...]

Europe has [already] lost other industries to Asia. Steel, textiles and shipbuilding have moved east. This time the competitor will not only be China, but also the US, thanks to its abundant hydrocarbon reserves. Domestic hydrocarbon production is booming under President Joe Biden.""


To understand: the cost of the issue is about 40 billion dollars a year in lost exports (net). And all just on a single example of a single industry.

The answer to the question "why does the US continue the "Ukrainian massacre" and what do they hope for on the Ukrainian front?" doesn't really have much to do with Ukraine itself. The Americans are now hitting the European economy (from automobile manufacturing to petrochemicals) with control shots, and they need to make sure that nothing grows back there. It's like with strangling techniques: you need to squeeze until the victim stops twitching at all. And in order for the European industrial economy to shake off its hooves, the "Ukrainian case" must be prolonged. It won't be long now, in 2024 everything will probably be closed.


#eu #europe #chemical #economy #future in #poverty by #european #vassalage #USA #us #profit



An anatomy of war

29 Oct 2023 - 7:17

By Costas Lambos

claslessdemocracy@gmail.com,

War is the father of everything and the king of all things, which makes some of them gods and some men, that is, some of them makes some free and others slaves.

Heraclitus

War is the state of armed conflict between two or more rival national/state power entities and coalitions for the purpose of subduing the opponent(s). In other words, the armed imposition of the power of the victor over the vanquished. In essence, war is nothing but the violent conflict between powers for the redistribution of power over geographical, wealth, economic, strategic and social dimensions through conquest. War is an act of power conquest, expansion and enslavement that was completed as a practical policy with the emergence of the capitalist mode of production in the form of colonialism, imperialism and globalisation. Since then, imperialist wars became the norm and peace between belligerents, i.e. imperialist peace, the exception, the interlude in preparation for the next wars.

Heraclitus defined war as 'the father and king of everything'[1]. By replacing the word father and/or king with the word power, the two basic concepts that symbolize authority, we understand how consciously and deliberately those who deify war and try to present it both as the generator and creator of everything are misleading, when in fact it has been, throughout the course of human history, the destroyer of everything, making the few rulers 'free' and the many subjugated slaves. On the contrary, defensive wars of national liberation, as well as social revolutions, differ from the classical war of conquest and enslavement, because they seek the exact opposite result, namely, liberation from violent occupation and slavery, and contribute creatively to the progress of societies and humanity. Paleoanthropology, archaeology, history and other related sciences teach us that, during the millions of years of egalitarian societies that ensured the survival of the human species, any conflicts resulted in the merging and peaceful coexistence of races and human groups. They also teach us that organized conquering and destructive wars appeared simultaneously with the emergence of de jure individual patriarchal ownership of land and people, of monogamous, but only on the part of the mother, family, organized authoritarian state and organized religions. Since then, patriarchal private property is expressed as patriarchal power and transformed into class state power which is identified with conquering war, as a way of survival of power and enrichment, instead of organizing the production of necessary goods. Thus human history becomes the history of wars with the interludes of 'peace' for reconstruction and the organisation of new wars, until we reach the 20th century with the two great inhuman and destructive world wars.

The Third, modern, World War III between the would-be rulers of humanity is being waged, in installments and by proxies, as we all experience it daily as a show through the brainwashers, resulting in great confusion as to who is on the right side of history and who is not. However, history has already conclusively established that peoples, working societies, the forces of labour, science and civilisation, whether as 'warriors' or as citizens, are always on the 'wrong side of history', while the economically powerful, the obscurantists and the rulers are on the 'right' side.

Loony parrots, loquacious 'experts', war-mongers or so-called 'peace-lovers' and crisis analysts further obfuscate the issue because they intervene in the debate either as spokesmen for ideologies, or as direct or indirect employees of the global conglomerate producing and trading weapons, defence and armament systems, acting in their own way as dealers in war. The verbose and allegedly scientific analyses are limited to a superficial approach to the facts and situations of war, with the result that the causes and consequences of war are concealed, which, as a rule, result in the vulgar notion that it is human nature that is to blame for wars, and not the excesses of the capitalist mode of production and the unequal distribution of wealth. War is a policy of interests.

The reality is that war, as Clausewitz taught us, is nothing more than the 'continuation of (peaceful) politics by other means', which ends in 'war by other means', in the form of a timeless vicious circle, which, in repeated historical cycles, reproduces itself by devouring humanity and its civilisation. Ultimately, however, both war and peace between belligerents are nothing but a violent economic operation subject to the laws of cost-benefit analysis in which the winner(s) take all and the loser(s) lose everything, including their identity and freedoms, to end up as inmates of 'humanitarian' handouts and vassals of the 'development aid' of the victors.

In order to understand the essence of the power that suffers from war-madness, precisely because it is in incurable insecurity and considers that its survival depends on the subjugation or even the disappearance of all other powers, we must identify its cause. Warlike power does not stem from human nature, as some capitalist ideologues claim, who see war as a universal inherited natural aspect of human nature. On the contrary, human nature is a social systemic, not a transcendent physical, quantity that is an imprint of the particular social system in which each person is born and lives. No human being who is born unable to survive on his own and survives thanks to the care of his parents and his society has no reason to be conflictual, because he understands that only in conditions of peaceful coexistence and cooperation can he survive, develop and be happy. In conclusion, warlike power derives exclusively from the right of a minority to exercise the right of private property over the means of production and consequently over the way in which the socially produced wealth is distributed, which results in power over the social whole and over the wealth-producing resources of the society in question and of humanity as a whole. The conclusion that ultimately emerges is that war is nothing but the violent conflict mainly between large private property in the form of class state powers aimed at reproducing and perpetuating economic and social inequalities.

Now, why all those who talk and analyse war as a cause are bypassing and obscuring the basic cause of war, which is private property, does not require one to be a philosopher to understand it, as long as one has the simple logic of things and of course the courage to express it. And this despite and against the authoritarian fear that in many ways permeates our daily life, even in the form of pressure to take a stand for one war or another, rather than condemning war as a systemic phenomenon and consequently the system that generates and nourishes inhuman and destructive imperialist wars and reconstitutes itself for new ones, with imperialist peace as a respite.

In this vicious circle of capital, what is at stake is not a certain imperialist peace, but the abolition of the main and fundamental cause of all wars. This was the aim of the establishment of the EEC which evolved into the European Union, the most important thing that has happened in history so far, which is waiting to be completed. Neo-Germanism slowed down the evolution of the EU , through the divergence, instead of the economic and social convergence of its member states into United States of Europe. The result of this not at all accidental development was to give neo-Americanism the opportunity to reconstitute itself, after the voluntary collapse of the Soviet Bloc, into an aspiring world hegemon with China and Russia as its main rivals, which instead of taking a step forward towards direct/classical democracy 'returned peacefully' from state monopoly capitalism to the market capitalism of oligarchies and authoritarianism. Thus we have arrived at capitalist barbarism which is increasingly taking the form of a devastating nuclear conflict, even a biological war between East and West, which will decimate the world population and return humanity to primitive conditions.

The first and main victim of this conflict is the European Union and the other peoples of the world, who are waiting for the European Union to become aware of its historic mission, to formulate its European identity and to take the next step towards a post-capitalist European society. THE EU, despite the weaknesses and reactionary anchors of its leading group, which is the greatest economic, social and cultural power on the planet, could, by freeing itself from the chariot of Americanism, become the moral force that would open wide the way to an anti-capitalist transcendence in the form of a global peaceful revolution that would lead all humanity to a better world, which today, in the 21st century more than ever before is necessary, possible and inevitable.

But since the leaderships of the countries/members of the European Union are nothing but the donor powers of the economic oligarchies, this development is not their choice, because their narrow economic interests are intertwined with those of American hegemonism. That is why history will sleep until the forces of labour, science and civilisation understand that the further progress of Europe and of humanity as a whole, is identified with their own awakening and their movement from the position of the object of the power of capital that consumes the ideological garbage of neoliberalism, to the position of the subject of history that will produce and implement Politics for Man, his society and his civilization and not for profit and war.

The abolition of war, therefore, cannot be achieved through our fanaticism, nor through papal prayers and the excommunications of obscurantist priesthoods, but through the abolition of private property over the means of production, which will change the philosophy and architecture of the constitution of societies towards direct democratic/class societies from the local to the universal level. Science and modern technology have formed all those necessary conditions for the passage to the civilization of social equality and peaceful coexistence of all the peoples of the planet, as long as we liberate science and technology from capital, before it finally destroys the earth's biosphere.

If wars are not accidental, nor 'God-given' events, but planned, by capital, the powers that be and their political servants, destructive actions designed to perpetuate the social inequalities that make a few their masters and the many their slaves. Then the abolition of wars cannot be accidental, but a conscious and planned affair of the forces of labour, science and civilisation, starting from their final and irrevocable decision to abolish private property over the means of production and to organise their lives on the principle of proportional social equality, without masters and slaves. All the rest is intellectual aggrandizement...
https://biblionet.gr/%CF%80%CF%81%CE%BF%CF%83%CF%89%CF%80%CE%BF/?personid=22283,

[1] Heraclitus, On Nature, verse h.

https://www.triklopodia.gr/%ce%bc%ce%b9%ce%b1-%ce%b1%ce%bd%ce%b1%cf%84%ce%bf%ce%bc%ce%af%ce%b1-%cf%84%ce%bf%cf%85-%cf%80%ce%bf%ce%bb%ce%ad%ce%bc%ce%bf%cf%85/
#politics #study for #justice #future #economy #postcapitalism #war is instrument of #capitalism #european #vassalage


Note on the problem of the left's study of the demise of the USSR
...
Under communism, the superstructure presupposes the free and dynamic development of the basis as an organic side of social production, and the basis gives room for the development of the superstructure. In this sense, the formation "communism" is opposite not to the formation "capitalism", but to all class formations together. That is why the reasoning of various left-wing theorists about the contradictions between socialist production and social relations is deeply erroneous. It is correct to speak of the struggle of the old exploitative modes with the new communist mode.

Since in an exploitative society socio-economic processes are mostly spontaneous, production anarchy reigns, in the pair base - superstructure the leading role in the pair remains with the base, and the superstructure is a kind of reflection of the requirements of the dominant relations of the base. In communist society, however, it is the superstructure, in the form of the policies of the party and the state, that becomes the leading one, and the basis the slave. This is a very important point that the left does not understand. That is why Lenin argued that it is enough for the working class in alliance with the peasantry to take power and on the basis of the dictatorship of the proletariat it is possible to build the basis of communism. That is why the statements of certain figures widely known in leftist circles that the USSR allegedly perished because Russia was too economically backward are anti-Marxist. For them, the great Stalinist industrialization is not the construction of communism, but merely the bourgeois modernization of the economy, the elimination of industrial backwardness. They do not want to see that under Stalin not just built a lot of plants and factories, creating from scratch entire industries, but built exactly that new communist relations.
...

#politics #economy #USSR #marxism #communism #history #study for #future


On the electrogenetic regulation of health


Scientists Control Human DNA with Electricity in 'Leap Forward', Study Reports
In a novel experiment, researchers were able to trigger insulin production in human cells by sending electrical currents through an “electrogenetic” interface that activates targeted genes. Future applications of this interface could be developed to deliver therapeutic doses to treat a wide range of conditions, including diabetes, by directly controlling human DNA with electricity.


An electrogenetic interface to program mammalian gene expression by direct current
In a proof-of-concept study in a type 1 diabetic male mouse model, a once-daily transdermal stimulation of subcutaneously implanted microencapsulated engineered human cells by energized acupuncture needles (4.5 V DC for 10 s) stimulated insulin release and restored normoglycemia.


Unfortunately adoption will be very slow, if at all, as Big Pharma will oppose it in every way possible. Profit is paramount.
#electrogenetic #regulation of #health #future #science


False stereotypes about communists


...
You can clearly see how the leaders of this so-called BLM movement "understand" Marxism. Instead of talking about the need to abolish private ownership of the means of production and create a theoretically competent communist party to deploy propaganda and agitation for the purpose of a real struggle for power, these people are bogged down in actionism and pogroms, declaring to the amusement of the public about the struggle for the rights of perverts of all stripes. Excellent "Marxists"! The bourgeoisie of the whole world only dreams of all its opponents being just like that. Ridiculous, theoretically illiterate, putting forward clownish slogans. Of course, it is precisely such "Marxists" that the bourgeois press will strenuously promote through the media, which is what we are seeing. Such "Marxists" are a tool for discrediting communism. These people, voluntarily or unwittingly, become allies of the bourgeoisie in strengthening its power.

Generally speaking, the bourgeois media deliberately create a stereotype of communists as backward people, either missing the USSR or stupid-headed actionists. The main thing that propagandists try to hide from the masses is that communism is a science, and communists adhere to a scientific approach. True, the activists themselves, who undeservedly call themselves communists and do not own Marxist-Leninist theory, are no less to blame here.

In addition to the "subtle" technologies of stirring up interest in empty-headed leftists, the bourgeoisie also uses cruder methods. For example, an ordinary lie. Everything is simple here. Some blatantly false, inadequate information is taken, necessarily associated with the "left" and thrown into the public space. And since the ordinary reader is not only not accustomed to simply double-checking information, but also does not understand that there is a colossal, fundamental difference between a conscientious communist and all sorts of leftists, tailists, opportunists, the promoted image of a "crazy leftist" begins to work. Such techniques are especially effective in the minds of young people, whose consciousness is distorted by the "white noise" of social networks, and, due to the lack of life experience and theoretical knowledge, is more susceptible to manipulation and emotionally unstable. An example of such rough work:
...

#leftism #leftist #western #lie about #communists #marxism #communism is #learning for #future


Джулиан Саймон: Неисчерпаемый ресурс


Предисловие:

С развитием цивилизации (и ростом населения) доступные нам ресурсы Земли (еда, питьевая вода, все полезные ископаемые) увеличиваются, а вовсе не уменьшаются! Потому что выводят новые сорта, гораздо более плодовитые, находят новые месторождения, учатся очищать и добывать воду и т.д. Проблемы недостатка ресурсов не существует вообще..

Решение всех этих технических проблем - в развитии науки и технологии.

Все разговоры о "перенаселенности", "скором исчерпании ресурсов и грядущей мировой катастрофе из-за этого" и т.д. - это не только заведомая ложь, но идеологическая попытка захватить власть, подавить несогласных и править людьми от имени якобы "сохранения природы для всех".



Краткое содержание:

Шмуэль-Лейб Меламуд. На всех хватит

Чем больше Джулиан Саймон углублялся в исследования, тем яснее он видел, что эмпирические данные не согласуются с мрачными теориями, а используемые модели противоречат экономической науке.


«Однажды весной 1969 г. я приехал в офис Агентства международного развития США (US AID) в Вашингтоне, чтобы обсудить проект сокращения рождаемости в слаборазвитых странах. Я прибыл раньше назначенного часа и прогуливался неподалеку. Греясь на весеннем солнышке, я увидел дорожный указатель к памятнику павшим на Иводзиме. Мне вспомнилась речь, произнесенная армейским раввином над телами погибших при взятии острова, там было что-то вроде: “Сколь многие из похороненных здесь могли бы стать новым Моцартом, Микеланджело или Эйнштейном?” Не сошел ли я с ума, подумалось мне. Чем это я занимаюсь, пытаясь помочь сокращению числа тех, кто мог бы быть рожден в этот мир и стать Моцартом, или Микеланджело, или Эйнштейном, или просто – источником радости для своей семьи и общины, просто радующимся жизни человеком?

Я по-прежнему верю, что помогать людям в их желании иметь столько детей, сколько они хотят, замечательно, а убедить их или принудить к тому, чтобы они рождали меньше детей, чем им хотелось бы, – нечто совсем иное».

Джулиан Линкольн Саймон (1932-1998), ученый еврейского происхождения, профессор экономики и бизнеса в университете Иллинойса, признается, что тогда, в 1969 г., когда он начал заниматься демографическими проблемами, настроение у него было депрессивное. В подавляющем большинстве научных и газетных публикаций того времени (как, впрочем, и сейчас) утверждалось, что планета Земля скоро не сможет обеспечивать постоянно растущее население едой, энергией и другими ресурсами, что человечество уничтожает леса, отравляет почву, воду и воздух, что месторождения полезных ископаемых подходят к концу, а скученность в больших городах порождает психические расстройства у жителей. «Зачем нам нужны еще 23 миллиона человек?» – пишет биолог Пол Эрлих, автор книги «Популяционная бомба» (1968) о послевоенном «беби-буме» в США. «100 миллионов человек умрут в 1979 г. от голода, связанного с перенаселением». Комиссия ООН предсказывает гибель от голода 500 млн. человек между 1980 и 2025 гг. Даже речи быть не может о сохранении нынешнего уровня жизни, нужно немедленно принимать меры по снижению народонаселения и нормированию ресурсов, иначе выживание человечества и вообще всего живого на Земле под большим вопросом.

Но ни в 1979 г., ни в 1989 г., ни через 40 лет после этого предсказанный голод так и не наступил. Напротив, благодаря «зеленой революции» – работе нобелевского лауреата Нормана Болроуга по улучшению сортов и технологии выращивания сельскохозяйственных культур, – урожайность зерновых в беднейших странах выросла втрое (результат, который Эрлих считал «абсолютно недостижимым»). Изобилие продовольствия привело к тому, что посевные площади стали сокращаться и превращаться в леса и парки. То же самое произошло и с другими ресурсами. Паника была напрасной – ни один из апокалиптических прогнозов Пола Эрлиха так и не оправдался.

Чем больше Джулиан Саймон углублялся в исследования, тем яснее он видел, что эмпирические данные не согласуются с мрачными теориями, а используемые модели противоречат экономической науке. В 1981 г. он публикует обширную монографию под названием «Неисчерпаемый ресурс», где подробно, с цифрами и графиками доказывает, что питание, уровень жизни, состояние окружающей среды улучшаются со временем, и нет причин, чтобы эта тенденция изменилась в будущем. Что рост населения повышает, а не снижает уровень жизни, и что природные ресурсы, доступные человечеству, не закончатся никогда. В 1980 г. Саймон заключает с Эрлихом пари, что цены на любые пять названных им сырых материалов упадут в ближайшие 10 лет. Эрлих выбрал медь, хром, никель, олово и вольфрам. В 1990 г. Саймон был признан победителем: с поправкой на инфляцию, цены на все пять металлов снизились благодаря техническому прогрессу, появлению новых материалов и технологий.

Но как ресурсы могут быть неисчерпаемыми? Любой, кто ведет домашнее хозяйство, знает, что еда в холодильнике, стиральный порошок и ресурс двигателя автомобиля рано или поздно заканчиваются. Да, это верно. Но когда мы говорим о человечестве в целом, среди 7 миллиардов человек обязательно найдется кто-то, кто придумает, как лучше добывать дефицитный материал, экономнее его использовать или заменить более доступным аналогом. Неисчерпаема человеческая изобретательность – там, где ее не сдерживают законы и обычаи.

Тех, кто смотрит на Землю как на большой холодильник, из которого человечество только берет, ничего не кладя взамен, называют мальтузианцами, по имени Томаса Роберта Мальтуса, который еще в 1798 г. опубликовал «Очерк о законе народонаселения». Мальтус заметил, что население растет более быстрыми темпами, чем производство продуктов питания, а значит, в какой-то момент начнется их нехватка. Мальтус утверждал, что только воздержание и женитьба в как можно более позднем возрасте поможет беднякам улучшить свое положение. Но, как оказалось в действительности, расширение свободного предпринимательства и индустриальная революция помогли справиться с бедностью даже при увеличении рождаемости и резком снижении смертности.

Тем не менее, мальтузианский подход никуда не делся и продолжает применяться при анализе тенденций по сей день. Только современные мальтузианцы больше озабочены экологическими проблемами, а не судьбой бедняков.

Суть спора, – пишет Саймон, – в противоречии между инженерным и экономическим подходом при оценке дефицитности ресурсов. Инженеры берут данные по имеющимся запасам, делят их на ежегодный расход и получают время, по прошествии которого все запасы ресурса будут исчерпаны. Экономисты же в своих исследованиях опираются на цены – если цена падает, значит, предложение превышает спрос и будет превышать его в ближайшей перспективе. Но в чем тогда ошибка инженеров?

Ошибка заключается в том, что «разведанные запасы» – величина, сама по себе зависящая от спроса. Спрос на нефть, газ, руду подталкивает к поиску новых месторождений и новых способов извлечения сырья. Разведанные запасы составляют тысячные доли процента от потенциально извлекаемых при нынешнем уровне технологий. И раз даже их хватает для текущего потребления, нет смысла переворачивать каждый камень в поиске новых.

Мировой энергетический кризис в связи с истощением запасов нефти еще лет пять назад был главной темой для обсуждения. Точно так же в 1865 г. говорили о скорой остановке английской промышленности из-за истощения запасов угля. В 1891 г. не видели никаких шансов найти нефть в Техасе. Разведанных запасов нефти в 1914 г. должно было хватить максимум на ближайшее десятилетие. Как и в 1939-м, и в 1951 годах. Сланцевая нефть и почти необозримые запасы природного газа (по оценке 1977 г. его должно хватить на 3-4 тыс. лет), кажется, дают нам на сегодня передышку, даже без учета все более эффективного использования энергии. Запасы же ядерного топлива громадны по любым человеческим меркам. Но пессимистичные прогнозы, как сетует Саймон, на протяжении всей истории были популярнее оптимистичных.

А что насчет загрязнения? Ведь правда, что люди отравляют и замусоривают планету с каждым годом все больше? Если вы зададите этот вопрос любому встречному человеку, он даст на него два противоположных ответа, в зависимости от того, о чем идет речь – о том, что он видит сам вокруг себя, или о положении в мире, о котором он узнал из газет.

Человек, родившийся в начале 20 в. в Англии или США, мог наблюдать, как постепенно очищается его окружение. В 1968 г. в Темзу вернулась рыба, которую не видели там уже столетие. В то же самое время в Гудзон перестали сливать фекалии. Пляжи на Великих Озерах снова открыты для публики. Концентрация всех известных вредных веществ в воздухе и воде непрерывно снижается с 1960-х годов, как и концентрация опасных микроорганизмов. При этом лучших результатов достигли именно развитые страны, что говорит о том, что экономический рост не убивает, а наоборот, позволяет сохранять окружающую среду. Рост доходов создает спрос на очистку и дает для нее больше возможностей. Также рост продолжительности жизни в немалой степени связан с более чистой (не стерильной, а здоровой) средой, в которой мы живем сейчас, по сравнению с предыдущими поколениями.

В то же самое время экологи находят все новые и новые причины для беспокойства. Саймон приводит многостраничный список смертельных опасностей, паника по поводу которых оказалась совершенно напрасной. Так же скептически он относится к панике по поводу «глобального потепления», которое в наше время превратилось в неопределенное «глобальное изменение климата». Безусловно, многие реальные опасности требуют тщательного изучения и принятия разумных мер, но этому никак не помогают пророчества о скором конце света. А от включения в этот процесс чиновников и школьных учителей ситуация только усугубляется.

Школы оказывают очень сильное влияние. Опрос 1992 г. выявил: 47% 6-17-летних считают, что «экологические проблемы являются самыми жгучими для нашей страны», хотя статистические данные свидетельствуют об обратном. Чиновники, в свою очередь, склонны использовать любую возможность для демонстрации заботы о народе. Они начинают дорогостоящие государственные программы и устанавливают глобальные запреты там, где без них можно было бы обойтись. Порой это приводит не только к денежным тратам, но и к человеческим жертвам, как, например, в случае полного запрета на использование всех видов асбеста. Материал, использованный для замены асбеста в уплотнителях космического челнока «Челленджер», оказался непригоден при низких температурах, что привело к взрыву корабля и гибели всего экипажа.

Предостерегает Саймон и против чрезмерного увлечения экономией. В первую очередь потому, что издержки в большинстве случаев оказываются больше сэкономленного.

Например, плата за сданную макулатуру в пунктах приема устанавливается с учетом стоимости всех химикатов, используемых для ее переработки, и итоговой цены на произведенную из нее бумагу. Если эта плата не компенсирует потраченные вами время, силы и бензин, значит, бумага является менее ценным ресурсом, и лучше будет отказаться от идеи ее повторного использования. Тем более, что для изготовления бумаги уже давно используются деревья, специально выращенные для этой цели.

Вторая причина – мы не знаем, какие ресурсы на самом деле будут необходимы в будущем. Сам автор вспоминает, как в 1970-х обнаружил исчезновение из магазинов баллончиков для любимых им перьевых ручек. Обшарив все офисы в колледже, он собрал запас никому не нужных баллончиков, которого должно было хватить до конца жизни. И который стал совершенно бесполезным после покупки компьютера в начале 1980-х. Курьезный случай, когда это касается одного человека, превращается в потери миллионов долларов, когда речь идет о государстве, создающем запасы «стратегических ресурсов» (например, китового жира), и пытающемся их сбыть через 30-40 лет по любой цене. Если мы, как уже сказано выше, уверены в том, что по прошествии времени ресурсы будут только дешеветь, какой смысл беречь их для будущих поколений? Не лучше ли их использовать для улучшения условий жизни уже сейчас и приложить усилия для сохранения лишь того, что действительно уникально и невоспроизводимо?

Но главной своей задачей Джулиан Саймон считал развенчание мифов об опасности роста населения.

Перенаселение считается проблемой со времен, когда Авраам отделился от Лота: «И нести не могла их земля [не могла их прокормить], чтобы жить [им] вместе» (Берешит 13:6). Еврипид писал, что причиной Троянской войны было «невыносимое многолюдство». В 17 в. перенаселение вынуждало людей покидать пятимиллионную Англию и следовать в Новый Свет. Разговоры о том, что скоро «в мире останутся только стоячие места», идут с 1920-х гг., и тогда же появляется теория «оптимальной численности населения», через полвека показавшая свою полную несостоятельность.

Говоря о последствиях роста населения, Саймон обращает внимание на ряд важных моментов:

1. Демографическое прогнозирование – чрезвычайно сложная задача. До сих пор не было сделано ни одного хотя бы приблизительно верного долгосрочного демографического прогноза, зато было сделано много поразительно ошибочных.

2. Размер семьи является следствием разумного планирования во всех странах и обществах, включая самые примитивные.

3. Сокращение рождаемости сейчас снижает нагрузку на родителей по содержанию детей. Но из-за этого в пожилом возрасте те же родители станут более тяжким бременем для все меньшего числа работающих.

4. Кажется очевидным, что многодетные родители должны тратить больше, а сберегать меньше. На самом деле этого не происходит.

5. Плотность населения в сельской местности снижается, а в городах увеличивается. При этом количество рабочих и жилых помещений на одного человека в городах растет, то есть люди живут все более просторно.

6. Рост численности и плотности населения способствует развитию и удешевлению транспорта, коммуникаций и другой инфраструктуры. Крупные капиталовложения в этой сфере принесут прибыль только при большой численности населения.

7. Увеличение количества людей приводит к увеличению объема доступных знаний (не только научных), открытий и инноваций, а также к более активному внедрению уже открытых технологий. Однако важно, что происходит это только в условиях свободы.

8. Растущее население создает проблему обеспечения его потребностей, что создает спрос на новые знания и усовершенствования. В итоге улучшаются условия жизни для всех. Кроме того, большее количество людей, изучающих разные предметы ради любопытства, приводит к появлению «спонтанного знания», также играющего важную роль в развитии.

9. Большой рынок способствует развитию крупномасштабных производств, что удешевляет стоимость единицы продукции. Он также позволяет углубить разделение труда, использовать более эффективные машины, предлагать большее разнообразие товаров и услуг.

10. Рост населения делает образование более доступным, расходы на одного ученика снижаются.

11. Рост населения позволяет сделать сбор и утилизацию отходов более эффективными.

12. Ни рост численности, ни рост плотности населения не влияют на физическое и психическое здоровье людей.

К сожалению, все эти аргументы никак не влияют на адептов ограничения рождаемости. Отчасти потому, что взгляд на человека как на потребителя природных богатств, а не партнера в их создании, взгляд на экономику как на «игру с нулевой суммой», где выигрыш одного означает проигрыш остальных, очень укоренились в сознании обывателя. Но, помимо этого, в высказываниях о демографической угрозе проглядывает недостаточно тщательно замаскированная жажда власти и мысль о собственном превосходстве над остальным человечеством. О необходимости «улучшения человеческой породы» и о том, что «некоторым группам населения лучше не размножаться».

Создание видимости научного консенсуса очень важно для продвижения таких идей. Поэтому выход первого издания книги Саймона породил настоящую бурю негодования. Реакция оппонентов очень редко включала какие-то научные контраргументы. Гораздо чаще это была брань, личные нападки, эмоциональные манипуляции, развешивание идеологических и религиозных ярлыков, попытки запретить выступления, публикации, вплоть до попытки исключения из университета. «Этот человек – террорист», – заявил представитель Всемирного фонда дикой природы. Даже после проигрыша пари Пол Эрлих не признал свою неправоту, продолжил называть своего оппонента невеждой, слабоумным, идиотом, и повторять, что «пари не имеет значения», неизменно уклоняясь при этом от прямых дискуссий. И, надо признать, тактика эта оказалась вполне успешной.

Журналист как-то спросил Саймона: «Зачем вы все это говорите?» Тот ответил: «После того, как я углубился в изучение вопроса, я обнаружил, что факты не соответствуют моей исходной гипотезе. Не мог же я пренебречь фактами!» Как настоящий ученый, он был убежден, что никогда не следует допускать ни малейшего искажения истины. Увы, такой подход не всегда вознаграждается в настоящем. Но есть надежда, что он будет по достоинству оценен в будущем.



Книга выдающегося исследователя Джулиана Саймона "Неисчерпаемый ресурс" http://virtua.nsaem.ru:8001/mm/2014/000192095.pdf
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